Predicting election results is a mug’s game. Any prediction of a result outside one’s own riding relies on an analysis of someone else’s polling results. And these have been, um, a wee bit unreliable lately. Do YOU see a Wildrose government in Alberta?
So I’m sticking to my riding for now – Ottawa South. I have lived there for the past 11 years and have a pretty good feel for the community and where it leans politically. At least I think I do.
So party by party*, here we go.
Gotta love them. Especially on the single school system file. The candidate in the riding, Matt Lakatos-Hayward, seems like a nice guy. The fact that I likely have socks that are older than him shouldn’t matter, but it does. And of all of the parties, I have to admit that I’m attracted to their platform more than any of the others. It is innovative and has evolved into something credible.
Too bad about the not having a chance in hell stuff. Maybe one day…
Lots of angry NDP supporters out there, eh? Horwath brought down the Liberal government on the Budget – a budget that most Dippers supported. Now they have the distinct possibility of a worse-case scenario being realised: a Hudak government.
Result? Most but the hardline New Democrats will either stay at home or switch to the Liberals strategically to defeat the Hudak candidate,
Steve Carrell Matt Young.
The candidate is Bronwyn Funciello, who wants (as she said at the all-candidates meeting) to provide the same type of community oriented service to voters in Ottawa South as she has to the area as a OCDSB Trustee.
Which translates as “sketchy” and “next to none”. Improving on this is what motivated me to run for Trustee opposite her in the least election and why I have not yet 100% ruled out running again.
And, oh – the NDP in the riding? They have just slightly less of chance in hell as the Greens of having a victory party on Thursday night.
I deal with MPPs and MPs and their offices from time to time and I have tried imagining what it would be like dealing with Matt Young MPP. I take off my partisan hat, forget about Tim Hudak and picture what it would be like approaching Mr. Young for:
- some help with funding a day care facility for at-risk families
- assistance in helping my Parent Council to access monies for a new playstructure in our yard to replace one that was torn down by the Board
- ideas to better connect with the community through outreach events
- partnerships with the City to improve local facilities like parks and community centres
And you know what? I picture a smirk, a handshake and a see-ya-later.
Extreme conservatives like Matt Young and his boss are all about the bottom line. Nothing matters more. I’ve known and worked with guys like these in various capacities over my adult life and I have always found them with a single-minded purpose – $$$.
If Mr. Young is elected – and even worse, as part of a PC government – the next few years will be very difficult for we who call ourselves “community activists”. And hard for those who rely on an MPP with a sympathetic ear.
Another, and important reason why I could not support Mr. Young is his lack of street creds. His lack of involvement in our communities. I had never seen him at a community function, before the by-election. Never on a Board of some community group. Never reaching out and offering help at a community event. Nada. Nothing.
He just appeared out of nowhere. No one I know had ever even HEARD of the guy.
Is someone like THAT worth supporting??
I want to make a few points clear, here.
Yes, I am a Liberal – but not a card-carrying one as I am federally.
And yes, a main reason why I do not carry a card or donate to the party is thanks to their stance on school system reform – specifically, merging the Catholic and public boards. And yes, I resent them for this wrong and discriminatory position.
Yes, of course, the allegations about the gas plants bug the hell out of me. But they are still allegations, people! No matter what the PC and the Dippers would have you believe. Funny how Hudak’s conservative buds on the Hill can get away with being the most corrupt government in Canada’s history but colour them red and white and the Ontario Cons are all over them like a Doberman in a sausage factory!
Yes, I think the Budget that spelled the demise for the Wynne Government was just fine, thank-you. And their estimates with regard to when deficit spending would end were pretty realistic, in my quite-well-informed-and-educated opinion.
Yes, I think that Wynne is a fine Premier
But the main reason I support John Fraser in Ottawa South is because of the great work he has done here for his community.
If you are not involved in your community, as I am, you likely don’t see the work that your local MPP, MP or City Councillor does on a daily basis. Being a politician is the most thankless of thankless jobs around. But people like John carry on and do whatever they can to facilitate problem-solving, offer advice and connect the right people to the right people to arrive at solutions for the community.
John has done this as MPP and did this while his former boss was the Premier. When you’re the Premier, you have to hand the constituency work over to a trusted senior staff person. And John was that person.
I can deal with John and his office. I can’t imagine that with Matt Young.
And I certainly cannot imagine dealing with a Hudak government.
Vote Liberal in Ottawa South. Mr. Fraser has earned it.
*sorry to the Communists and the other smaller parties… (30)