Archive for the ‘2015 federal election’ Category

Harperendum, the main stream media and some final thoughts on #elxn42…

Thursday, October 22nd, 2015
  • With the revelations that in the dying days of the campaign a strategy was floated in the CPC war room that would have Harper come out and declare that this would be his last election, it confirms something that I suspected a few weeks ago: that the election had shifted to a referendum on Harper. When the Nanos numbers started to show a shift for the preferred PM away from Harper and toward Trudeau, the ballot box changed from the CPC message to whether Canadians wanted Harper back as PM. It became a Harperendum and Canadians voted accordingly.
    Would a move to distance himself from the campaign have helped? Maybe, but we will never know.
  • The right wing is predictably blaming the media for the fall of their hero. The CBC bias. The Toronto Star bias. etc., ad nauseum. Favourable coverage to anything not blue and white. Ignoring Liberal gaffes… and on and on and on… They have conveniently forgotten that most of the major news outlets endorsed Harper (well, the Glub and Money endorsed the party but noy Harper, but, but… OK, I still don’t understand that one). Suck it up, buttercups. You lost. But as Mr. Trudeau has said you are not our enemies, you are our neighbours. You will see a lot more kindness from us that we have seen from you over the past 9 years.
  • Lots of Liberals are asking – how do we ensure t hat a “Harper” doesn’t happen again? Well, you can’t. That is the nature of a democracy. Sometimes you get the good guys and sometimes the not-so-good. What progressives in this country can do is work together to advance a progressive agenda that will benefit al Canadians. And Canadians will reward us at the ballot box in 2019.

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My predictions for Monday…

Friday, October 16th, 2015

… so you can all laugh at me on Tuesday…predict

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This week’s CPC attack ads – EXCLUSIVE!!!

Wednesday, October 14th, 2015

With the polls saying that the Harperites are in real trouble in many previously “safe” ridings, Canadians can expect to see and hear a whole new suite of anti-Trudeau ads over the final days of this looooooonnnnggggg campaign.

My operative – let’s call him or her “The CPC War Room’s pizza delivery guy’s barber’s aunt” snuck these tidbits out to me in a used X-large pizza box still smelling of olives and dripping with bacon grease…

  • “Justin Trudeau – as Prime Minister he will cut income-splitting to fund injection sites in brothels”!
  • “Justin Trudeau – he like babies and he likes to eat pizza – he will FORCE FEED YOUR BABIES PIZZA!”
  • “Justin Trudeau – he want to put toll booths on Tim Horton drive-thrus to fund his ‘free-pot-for-schoolkids’ Program!
  • “Justin Trudeau – he will appoint an ISIS terrorist as  the Minister of National Defense!”
  • “Justin Trudeau – he almost drowned once when he was a kid. He was way over his head!”
  • “Justin Trudeau – as a drama teacher, he sold pot to kids on field trips to local brothels while reciting lines from Hamlet!”
  • “Justin Trudeau – his Dad was named Pierre. Which is French for “stone”. Which makes “just not ready” Justine a stoner who wants to inject drugs into your pizzas!

The only question is whether they will run out of days before ad ideas…

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Debate no-shows – they are slaps in the faces of those who organise them…

Friday, October 9th, 2015

I was one of those “organisers” of an all-candidate debate / meeting that the news articles often refer to. Our debate last night in the riding of Ottawa South was quite well attended with around 500 members of the community showing up at a local high school auditorium to hear what the all the candidates had to say about some of the issues that have dominated this election.

Um, well not exactly all of the candidates…

It seems to have become a regular practice in this election for Conservative Party candidates to skip these meetings, citing reasons like “too busy door-knocking” or having “previous commitments”. Notice of their non-attendance is usually given at the last-minute or close to it, forcing organisers to scramble a bit as the plans and logistics were geared to a defined number of candidates showing up. But so what… we manage… that’s not really my point.

My point / bone to pick is that by nonchalantly choosing to skip an event like this is a major slap in the face to those who have spent many, many hours of volunteer time to set up such an event. I figure that I alone spent about 20 hours on this event. I work full-time and have kids with activities, etc., etc… so my time is precious.

There is also a real and significant financial aspect. Auditoriums have to be paid for, microphones rented, security guards paid for, tech support booked and paid for… in our case it amounted about a thousand bucks total… not a fortune but significant given that these costs are paid for and labour provided by volunteer-driven not-for-profit groups.

And most of these organisations don’t have bags of cash just lying around looking for somewhere to go.

Now, I’m not going to slam the local candidate. I know the CPC candidate. I worked with him volunteering for Parent Council activities at our kids’ school. Our politics may differ but the guy did step up more than most. My displeasure is squarely on the party that has apparently made it their policy to order – with few exceptions – all of their candidates to skip debates, meetings or any interaction in a crowd where media might be present. They want the to stick with the “door-to-door” where a misstep outside the approved party script would likely not do a lot of damage. I kind of feel sorry for these candidates as they signed on to engage their voters wherever and when possible and they are being told that they cannot.

To that party and those who made this disengagement decision I say that they have made a big mistake. You have played into the hands of the opposition that likes to portray Harper and the CPC as cold, heartless and out of touch. I say too that you have angered a great many community leaders who make up these community groups. You have spat in the faces of these folks that are, by and large, respected in their communities and their words carry some weight – not saying mine does… but there are some really influential men and women in these organisations.

And that, ladies and gentlemen will come back to bite the blue party in the end.

 

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How the Jays might affect the election results. Maybe.

Friday, September 18th, 2015

Hey fans of sports and politics!

Check it out: if the Jays do win the AL East, they will be in the ALDS starting on October 8.

Advance polls are from the 9th to the 12, inclusive… meaning that on three of the five advance polling date, many would-be voters will be gathered in front of the TV those days rather than voting.

alds

Annnddd… if the Jays do get to the ALCS – here are the dates for that:
alcsIn short, the parties had better key up their money-shot messages and hit the doorsteps before this kicks in. Because, you know what? Most of Canada might very well be caught up in pennant fever in the days leading up to and day of the vote and might be hard to persuade off the couch to cast their ballot or to go to the door to talk to a canvasser.

Just sayin’…

 

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PSA – make sure you are registered to vote!

Tuesday, September 15th, 2015

Due to their tinfoil hattedness fear of widespread voter fraud, the Harperites may have made it more difficult for many Canadians to vote in the upcoming election.

So, I encourage everyone to share through the hills and dales, the highlands and the lowlands, yadda-yadda-yadda, the address for the Elections Canada site where one can verify if they are on the list and, if not, register on-line.

The site is here: http://www.elections.ca/content.aspx?section=vot&dir=reg&document=index&lang=e

Don’t forget, though, that you still have to bring ID with you to the polling station. ID requirements are here: http://www.elections.ca/content2.aspx?section=id&document=index&lang=e

 

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Jason Kenney provides new definition of an “electoral victory”!

Tuesday, September 1st, 2015

Hot on the heels of Minister Kenney’s proposed redefinition of a “recession”, comes some thoughts on what exactly consists an electoral “victory” or “win” as the determinant of who forms the next government.

In light of dropping polling numbers, Conservative candidate Jason Kenney laid the groundwork for a broader definition of “electoral victory” just a few weeks before the 2015 vote is held.

“Most political scientists define an electoral win as winning more seats in the House of Commons that the other guys,” Kenney told a group of prescreened 3 and 4 year olds at a daycare in Gatineau.

“What we know is we have a clear electoral advantage in the 75+ year old, white male, upper income, low education bracket in Brampton, Ontario. We think that winning over that particular demographic would be a clear message that all Canadians want to continue with a strong and stable majority Conservative government under the tutelage of our Dear Leader, Stephen Harper”.

Traditionally, political scientists define an electoral “loss” as not “winning” as many seats as the other parties and are therefore unable to form a government that has the support of the House.

“That’s just the Liberal-biased media expressing a point-of-view.” said Kenney.

Kenney offered a different take on the V-word.

“I’m suggesting a victory should be typically defined as a discrete and confined win in a specific and narrow demographic, not a broad electoral victory consisting of widespread support and more seats won”, he said. “In any case, this should not deflect us from pointing out Just-Not-Ready Justin’s plan to run a deficit by importing ISIS criminals and supplying their children with free marijuana. That should be the real story here.”

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Harper is talking about our recession…

Sunday, July 12th, 2015

… er, economic downturn in front of a crowd of Grade fivers because…

– They are only a few years younger than the PMO short pant staffers who set up this photo-op, so could talk about cool stuff common to them in between takes…

– He has found a group of economic advisors with better insights into the Canadian economy than the Finance Minister.

– In true conservative fashion, they dodged labour laws by having to pay the stand-ins only a few freezies for their time,

– Just for kicks, the PMO opted for a background of bored kids as opposed to the usual background of bored adults.

Bottom line – they may want to think twice before making an economic announcement in front of a bunch of kids next time. Maybe talk about your foreign policy objectives… those are pretty much at the 10-year-old level…

harper

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