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June 23rd, 2011:

Brands that will disappear…

… some of them are rather surprising.

Check it out… A&W is particular holds a lot of memories for me. I remember rolling up to the drive in with my brother and parents and my Dad ordering a root beer… it came in a frosted glass mug!

2. A&W

A&W Restaurants is owned by fast food holding company giant Yum! Brands (NYSE: YUMNews) which has had the firm for sale since January. There have been no buyers. The chain was founded in 1919. The size of the company grew rapidly, and immediately after WWII 450 franchises were opened. The firm pioneered the “drive in” fast food format. A&W began to sell canned versions of its sodas in 1971 — the part of the business that will survive as a container beverage business which is now owned by Dr. Pepper/Snapple. The A&W Restaurant business is too small to be viable now. It had 322 outlets in the U.S and 317 outside the U.S at the end of last year. All were operated by franchisees. By contrast, Yum!’s flagship KFC had 5,055 stores in the U.S. and 11,798 overseas. Two massive global fast food chains are even larger. Subway has 35,000 locations worldwide, and McDonald’s has nearly as many. A&W does not have the ability to market itself against these chains and at least a dozen other fast food operators like Burger King. And, A&W does not have the size to efficiently handle food purchases, logistics, and transportation costs compared to competitors many times as large.

Seriously? That standard-bearer of department store????

5. Sears

The parent of Sears and Kmart — Sears Holdings — is in a lot of trouble. Total revenue dropped $341 million to $9.7 billion for the quarter which closed April 30, 2011. The company had a net loss of $170 million. Sears Holdings was created by a merger of the parents of the two chains on March 24, 2005. The operation has been a disaster ever since. The company has tried to run 4,000 stores which operate across the US and Canada. Neither Sears nor Kmart have done well recently, but Sears’ domestic locations same store numbers were off 5.2% in the first quarter and Kmart’s were down 1.6%. Last year domestic comparable store sales declined 1.6% in the total, with an increase at Kmart of .7% and a decline at Sears Domestic of 3.6%. New CEO Lou D’Ambrosio recently said of the last quarter that, “we also fell short on executing with excellence. We cannot control the weather or economy or government spending. But we can control how we execute and leverage the potent set of assets we have.” D’Ambrosio needs to pull a rabbit out of his hat soon. Sharex are down 55% during the last five years. D’Ambrosio’s only reasonable solution to the firm’s financial problems is to stop supporting two brands which compete with one another and larger rivals such as Walmart (NYSE: WMTNews) and Target (NYSE: TGTNews). The cost to market two brands and maintain stores which overlap one another geographically must be in the hundreds of millions of dollars each year. Employee and supply chain costs are also gigantic. The path D’Ambrosio is likely to take is to consolidate two brand into one — keeping the better performing Kmart and shuttering Sears.

My kids love this crap cereal. Good riddance!

7. Kellogg’s Corn Pops

The cereal business is not what is used to be, at least for products that are not considered “healthy.” Among those is Kellogg’s Corn Pops ready-to-eat cereal. Sales of the brand dropped 18% over the year that ended in April, down to $74 million. That puts it well behind brands like Cheerios and Frosted Flakes, each which have sales of over $200 million a year. Private label sales have also hurt sales of branded cereals. Revenues in this category were $637 million over the same April-end period. There is also profit margin pressure on Corn Pops because of the sharp increase in corn prices. Kellogg’s describes the product as being “crispy, glazed, crunchy, sweet.” Corn Pops also contain mono- and diglycerides, used to bind saturated fat, and BHT for freshness, which is also used in embalming fluid. None of these are likely to be what mothers want to serve their children in an age in which a healthy breakfast is more likely to be egg whites and a bowl of fresh fruit.



Anyone that claims that climate change…

UPDATE – Yes, I should have included a table of historical values for reference sake. Too lazy this morning.Thanks to @RunnertheFirst for pointing this out… please see the bottom of this post.

The average daily maximum was 17.3 C.


… is a buncha crap, should consider this forecast for Inuvik.

Yes, this is “weather” as opposed to “climate”. I know the concepts and terminology very well…. but if these patterns persist, then there will be some major social, economic and biological upheavals in the North.

And I don’t believe we or any other polar nation is prepared for that.

Inuvik average temps – 1971 – 2000

Temperature: Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Year Code
Daily Average (°C) -27.6 -26.9 -23.2 -12.8 0.2 11.3 14.2 11 3.7 -8.2 -21 -25.7 -8.8 A
Standard Deviation 4.8 4.7 3.7 4 3 1.6 1.8 2 2.2 2.7 4.8 3.4 1.9 A
Daily Maximum (°C) -23.2 -22 -17.5 -7.1 5 17.3 19.8 16.1 7.8 -4.8 -16.8 -21.3 -3.9 A
Daily Minimum (°C) -31.9 -31.7 -28.8 -18.4 -4.7 5.3 8.5 5.9 -0.4 -11.6 -25.1 -30.1 -13.6 A
Extreme Maximum (°C) 5.4 5.2 6.1 13.8 25 32.8 32.8 32.5 26.2 15 10.6 5
Date (yyyy/dd) 1981/15 1989/25 1965/09 1995/27 1998/28 1999/17 2001/20 1994/02 1989/10 1969/12 1970/01 1973/31
Extreme Minimum (°C) -54.4 -56.7 -50.6 -46.1 -27.8 -6.1 -3.3 -6.1 -20.1 -35 -46.1 -50
Date (yyyy/dd) 1975/12 1968/04 1964/14 1971/01 1961/06 1959/04 1966/29 1966/13 1983/26 1965/29 1963/24 1964/31