Hot on the heels of Minister Kenney’s proposed redefinition of a “recession”, comes some thoughts on what exactly consists an electoral “victory” or “win” as the determinant of who forms the next government.
In light of dropping polling numbers, Conservative candidate Jason Kenney laid the groundwork for a broader definition of “electoral victory” just a few weeks before the 2015 vote is held.
“Most political scientists define an electoral win as winning more seats in the House of Commons that the other guys,” Kenney told a group of prescreened 3 and 4 year olds at a daycare in Gatineau.
“What we know is we have a clear electoral advantage in the 75+ year old, white male, upper income, low education bracket in Brampton, Ontario. We think that winning over that particular demographic would be a clear message that all Canadians want to continue with a strong and stable majority Conservative government under the tutelage of our Dear Leader, Stephen Harper”.
Traditionally, political scientists define an electoral “loss” as not “winning” as many seats as the other parties and are therefore unable to form a government that has the support of the House.
“That’s just the Liberal-biased media expressing a point-of-view.” said Kenney.
Kenney offered a different take on the V-word.
“I’m suggesting a victory should be typically defined as a discrete and confined win in a specific and narrow demographic, not a broad electoral victory consisting of widespread support and more seats won”, he said. “In any case, this should not deflect us from pointing out Just-Not-Ready Justin’s plan to run a deficit by importing ISIS criminals and supplying their children with free marijuana. That should be the real story here.”
trashee @ September 1, 2015
Trudeau’s closing remarks last night summed up what I have been saying for many years – the bar can be raised. Canadians don’t have to settle for a bar that is touching the ground.
Harper has placed that bar so low on so many fronts: foreign affairs, the environment, fiscal policy… The list goes on.
The bar can be and should be raised. And the only way to do this is to oust Harper. (62)
trashee @ August 7, 2015
…was when my 8 year old son asked who else has been Prime Minister in his lifetime.
And we had to say that Harper has been the only one.
My wife and I want our son- and two other kids- to have a Prime Minister that cares more about this country and its people than the sheer and cynical acquisition and retention of power.
It is time for a change. (16)
trashee @ August 7, 2015
A Netflix tax?
When nothing has been said about this by, like, anyone?
Did the PMO shortpants get a rogue focus group? Were they eating shrooms when they came up with this?
Can someone please explain?
trashee @ August 6, 2015
trashee @ August 4, 2015
Yeah, forget about the Parliamentary Budget Office saying that we are already in deficit.
Like, what do they know?
The Harper Reform Party – lying comes so naturally to them.
trashee @ July 31, 2015
Lots of speculation in the MSM and social media about when Stevie is going to visit the GG. The conventional wisdom is that he will make the walk (naw, he’ll be driven) sometime in August in order to make a long campaign a reality; a campaign where the CPC can spend, spend, spend their way to another victory.
The signs are already there for anyone who cares to look:
- The Annual Steve Shows He Cares About The North Tour™ has been cancelled for this year.
- Skippy gave away his gazillions to each and every family with kids in the country…until tax time, of course.
- The polls are inexplicably showing CPC strength and upward trends in most of the country (hmmm… might be tied to Skippy’s Gazillions™?)
- The Duffster trial is due to crank up again on August 11, with Sir Nigel up as the first witness. The Harper brain-trust (which is, of course, Steve and Steve alone) might think it wise to get the campaign rolling just as the trial resumes in order to front-load any potential damage that the trial may have into the earliest part of the campaign… then spend gazillions on ads designed to change the channel.
So if August, then when?
I looked up some Canada-related significant dates in August, as we know that SH the PM is very into tying himself to the past…
Aug. 13, 1535 – Cartier becomes the first European to sail into the St. Lawrence River, which he believes is a route to Asia. Two sons of Iroquois Chief Donnacona, who are guiding Cartier, refer to their native village as Canada, the explorer’s first exposure to the name.
Aug. 3, 1876 – The first telephone call between separate buildings is made by inventor Alexander Graham Bell, in Mount Pleasant, Ont., to his uncle, David Bell, in Brantford, Ont.
Aug. 12, 1728 – Danish sailor Vitus Johassen Bering sails through the strait that now bears his name in an expedition that would prove that Asia and North America are some 60 kilometres apart.
Aug. 4. 1914 – Following Germany’s invasion of Belgium, Britain declares war on Germany. Canada, as part of the British Empire, is engaged in the war as well.
Aug. 19, 1942 – Canadian troops sustain major losses in a raid on the French port of Dieppe. Nearly 1,000 Canadians die and another 1,800 are taken prisoner.
Aug. 10, 1960 – The Bill of Rights, specifying the rights of Canadians, becomes law. (OK. I just threw this one in to see if you were paying attention! We all know that Harper would never make an election announcement on a day when those pesky “rights” were enshrined!)
Of the above, I would suggest 4th, 13th or 19th. The 4th and 19th both ring loudly in the military history and Steve might be tempted to make the visit on one of those two days. But he runs the risk of pissing off veterans and others as this might be seen as making political hay out of military events (when Steve likes to do, of course).
But, recognising that Harper will not make the northern swing and the still-fairly-recent discoveries of the Franklin ships AND the uptick in ads trumpeting the ol’ true north strong and free motif (the one with the icebreakers), my bet would be on the 12th. It is a Wednesday, not so early that Canadians would grumble about having their summers “ruined”, but not so late as to take full advantage of the CPC war chest. That date is also 13 days after the latest GDP numbers are released… numbers that may quite possibly show that we are indeed in a recession. AND the Wright testimony should be over by then, allowing Harper to go into damage-control mode early in the campaign rather than later when Canadians might actually remember this on their way to the polling stations.
Of course, all of the above might be totally off base and the writ will be dropped in September. Who can really know the mind of Sir Steve? (26)
trashee @ July 28, 2015
I would like to give a quick tip of the hat to Scott (of Scott’s Diatribes) and the others behind the scene who make the blog aggregator – Progressive Bloggers – plug along year after year… And now in its TENTH FREAKING YEAR!
Older than the Harperite nightmare, it is!
Quite an accomplishment, indeed.
For those of you not in-the-know, PG accepts applications from like-minded progressive bloggers to be included on its site. It is THE collection of blog posts that promote, to one degree or another, the belief that progressive policies and thinking should be the cornerstone of public policy decisions. I’ve been a member of this site for, um, about 6 or 7 of the ten years (I think) and will often click on the PG posts to see what crazy shit is the talk of the day.
Now, the blogs that feed into this site vary pretty widely on the political spectrum from centrist to the far left. And we don’t always agree with one another. But, unlike the vitriol that is often spat from similar regressive conservative sites, we progressives are usually respectful of our differences and civil in our dialogues.
Keep up the great work, Scott! Have a nice celebration today… I believe a chai latte is on the menu, no? (43)
trashee @ July 25, 2015
I’d love to see the breakdown by Local because I don’t know a single person who voted for this.
Now. How does a Local leave a union?
Stay tuned. (15)
trashee @ July 15, 2015
trashee @ July 14, 2015